The Gulf of Mexico acts as a massive evaporative engine. Warm sea‑surface temperatures (often >28 °C / 82 °F) load the overlying air with water vapor. Prevailing southerly winds (low‑level jet, Bermuda High circulation) transport this moist air northward across the Gulf Coast states and into the Plains and Midwest.
As the air advances:
Transport efficiency depends on wind speed, temperature gradient, and distance from the coast.