New York's 2020 Presidential Vote: What the Forecasts Showed

According to the New York Times Upshot forecast (as of the 2020 election cycle), Joe Biden held a 92% probability of winning New York State's electoral votes.

This projection was based on polling aggregates and historical voting patterns. New York has voted Democratic in every presidential election since 1988. However, forecasts are snapshots—not guarantees—and can shift with new data.

For real-time election analysis, the NYT Politics section and FiveThirtyEight are reliable sources.

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