Jamaica's Last Census: 2011 Population Data & What's Next

Jamaica's most recent official census was conducted in 2011 by the Statistical Institute of Jamaica (STATIN), recording a total population of 2,847,232.

Key 2011 Census Findings

• Urban/Rural Split: 54% urban, 46% rural
• Parish Leaders: St. Andrew (573,369), St. Catherine (518,343), Kingston (89,057—separate from St. Andrew administratively)
• Age Structure: 27% under 15; 64% 15-64; 9% 65+
• Sex Ratio: 98 males per 100 females

Why No Census Since 2011?

The constitution mandates a census every 10 years. The 2021 round was postponed due to:

• COVID-19 pandemic disruptions
• Funding constraints
• Logistical challenges in reaching remote/informal communities

STATIN has conducted interim surveys (Labour Force, Living Conditions, Demographic & Health) but these don't replace a full enumeration.

Current Estimates & Next Steps

As of 2023-2024, STATIN and international bodies (UN, World Bank) estimate Jamaica's population at ~2.9-3.0 million, reflecting modest growth tempered by significant emigration (especially to US, UK, Canada) and declining fertility rates (~1.9 children/woman).

A new census is in planning stages, with STATIN targeting 2025-2026 pending budget approval. Methodological upgrades include digital enumeration (tablets/CAPI), GIS mapping integration, and expanded diaspora counting.

Why It Matters

Census data drives parliamentary seat allocation, central government transfers to parishes, business investment decisions, infrastructure planning, and social program targeting. The 13+ year gap creates data deficits for evidence-based policy.