Is New Hampshire Red or Blue? It's a Swing State with a Democratic Lean

As of 2024, New Hampshire is a competitive swing state with a slight Democratic lean in federal races but Republican control of the governorship and State House.

Recent Federal Results

• 2020 Presidential: Biden 52.7% – Trump 45.4% (+7.3%)
• 2016 Presidential: Clinton 47.0% – Trump 46.6% (+0.4%)
• 2022 Senate (Hassan): 53.5% – 44.4%
• 2022 House (both districts): Democrats held both (Pappas, Kuster).

State Government (2023–2025)

• Governor: Chris Sununu (R) — 4 terms, not seeking re-election 2024.
• State Senate: 14R–10D (Republican majority).
• State House: 201R–199D (Republican majority, narrow).
• Exec Council: 4R–1D.

Why It Swings

• High independent/unaffiliated registration (~40%).
• Low religiosity, high education, libertarian streak.
• First-in-nation primary amplifies retail politics.
• Demographic shifts: suburban drift blue, rural drift red.

2024 will test the lean: open governor race, competitive House seats, presidential battleground.